The world's largest marathon by participants. Five boroughs, five bridges, 50,000+ runners, and over a million spectators make NYC an unmatched race-day experience.
New York City Marathon 2026 sets up as one of the most competitive fields of the season (88/100). Our model sees a razor-thin margin between Ruth Chepngetich 🇰🇪 (9.7%) and Sisay Lemma 🇪🇹 (8.8%). This race could come down to the final kilometers and tactical execution.
The primary battle is between Ruth Chepngetich and Sisay Lemma, separated by just 0.9 percentage points. Kenya 🇰🇪 has 2 athletes in the top 3, adding tactical depth to their campaign. Sabastian Sawe 🇰🇪 at 7.9% is the dark horse — capable of disrupting if the leaders neutralize each other.
Cool conditions (10°C / 50°F) are favorable for fast times. Cool and clear skies should allow athletes to push the pace early. Watch for Moderate 15 km/h impacting the exposed sections of the course.
Too close to call between Ruth Chepngetich and Sisay Lemma. Our slight edge goes to Ruth Chepngetich based on recent form trajectory, but this is a coin-flip race.
Course record: 2:05:06 / 2:22:31. New York City, NY, USA hosts this 42.195 km event.