The world's largest ultra marathon.
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Comrades Marathon 2026 features an elite field rated 92/100, with Katie Schide 🇺🇸 emerging as the clear frontrunner at 33.8% win probability. Courtney Dauwalter trails at 19.4% and will need a tactical masterclass to contend.
The primary battle is between Katie Schide and Courtney Dauwalter, separated by just 14.4 percentage points. The USA 🇺🇸 has 2 athletes in the top 3, adding tactical depth to their campaign. Kilian Jornet 🇪🇸 at 13.3% is the dark horse — capable of disrupting if the leaders neutralize each other.
Cool conditions (11°C / 52°F) are favorable for fast times. Patchy rain nearby skies should allow athletes to push the pace early. Watch for NE 5 mph (8 km/h) impacting the exposed sections of the course.
Katie Schide to win. With 4 days to go, barring injury, this looks like a strong favorite performance.
Course record: 5:18:19. Durban to Pietermaritzburg hosts this 87 km (Up run) event.